Could Wolfram Alpha be as important as Google?

Another week, another Google killer. Last week Twitter, this week Wolfram Alpha.

You’ve probably seen the hype about Wolfram Alpha over on Twitter, in fact just about everywhere. But what exactly is it?

Wolfram Alpha is a computational knowledge engine for the Web. Ask Wolfram Alpha a question, and it works out the answer for you. So far so Google.

However, it doesn’t simply return web pages that might contain the answers, like Google does, and it isn’t just a giant database of knowledge, like Wikipedia.

Instead, Wolfram Alpha actually computes the answers to a wide range of questions. Questions that have factual answers such as “What country is Timbuktu in?” or “How many protons are in a hydrogen atom?” or “What is the average rainfall in London this month?”

Think about that for a minute. It computes the answers. “What was the price of oil on February 3, 2007″ yields over 19 million answers on Google. In theory, Wolfram Alpha should give you one hit: the answer to your question.

Of course, there are some questions it will be good at answering, and other questions for which we will still use Google and Twitter. Nick Spivack of Twine has put together a great analysis from a more technical perspective here.

But what are the wider implications of  Wolfram Alpha exactly? A new paradigm for using computers and the web? Probably. Emerging artificial intelligence and a step towards a self-organising internet? Possibly.

For now, we’ll have to wait until launch in May to see the reality. However, I think this could be big.

5 responses to “Could Wolfram Alpha be as important as Google?

  1. Pingback: The problem with Google (and how to sue Google and win) « The Convergence of Everything : Tom Simpson

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  4. Hey Tom! No mention of ‘True Knowledge’ on the Channel 4 piece, which is a very similar start-up: http://www.trueknowledge.com/

    I think their ‘answer engine’ is already more advanced than Wolfram’s – with more ‘facts’, in more domains, temporal ‘awareness’ (how old was Michael Jackson in 1982?) – and new knowledge can be freely updated by the community. Even more impressively – whole domains and relational concepts can be created by end users. Contrast that with Wolfram’s engine which appears to be closed and must be accumulating knowledge at a much slower rate, in fewer domains.

    Personally I think both these companies are going to have a hard time monetizing their efforts. The suggestion by the C4 reporter that Wolfram might eventually license the technology to Google doesn’t fly – firstly, what is patentable about these approaches? And second – doesn’t he assume Google are already developing these ideas themselves?

    Ps. nice one for starting a blog!

    The ShezBomb.

  5. two corrections to my own comment: researching this further, some aspects of these technologies are patentable, see True Knowledge patent: http://www.freepatentsonline.com/7013308.html

    But the very fact that Wolfram has launched an almost identical service suggests patenting what is essentially a knowledge retrieval system with natural language queries is going to be pretty tough.

    2nd correction: it appears Wolfram can also answer the question How old was Barrack Obama in 1982?

    🙂

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